OrderBlock.net

Forecast journal

Every idea is recorded at the moment we first showed it: the entry, stop and target are fixed and never change afterwards. Then the service tracks the result. Retrospective statistics over the whole history are in the History section. Only such “live” forecasts count here, without history fitted after the fact.

Published85waiting for entry: 46 · in progress: 13
Completed25targets: 3 · stops: 22 · cancelled: 1
Share of 2R targets12%break-even needs 33%
Result in R-16.00Ron average -0.64R per trade
Candidate from the lab: 1h, nothing against, stop beyond the head, target 2R

REFUTED by the yearly check: in the window where it was selected (Aug–Oct 2026) it gave +0.20R, but over the whole year −0.02R (447 trades, Σ −8.5R), and −0.09R over the previous 10 months. It stays here only as a control counter on new data; it must not be traded.

1published
0completed
—share of targets
0.00Rresult in R (without fees)

By idea quality

Strong ideas
Published33
Target / stop1 / 10
Share of targets9%
Total-8.00R
Medium ideas
Published31
Target / stop0 / 8
Share of targets0%
Total-8.00R
Weak ideas
Published21
Target / stop2 / 4
Share of targets33%
Total0.00R

Forecasts

WhenCoinIdeaQualityEntryStopTargetResult
06.10 20:25SOLUSDT 5mLONGMedium120.720120.239121.681Waiting for entry
06.10 20:25XAUUSDT 5mSHORTWeak4,172.364,173.994,169.1Waiting for entry
06.10 20:25BRUSDT 5mLONGMedium0.59870.57980.6365Waiting for entry
06.10 20:05MRVLUSDT 15mSHORTWeak289.790292.711283.948Waiting for entry
06.10 20:04NMRUSDT 15mSHORTMedium16.73317.48315.233Waiting for entry
06.10 19:45MRVLUSDT 5mSHORTMedium289.620292.482283.897Waiting for entry
06.10 19:30SPCXUSDT 5mLONGStrong171.810171.330172.771In progress
06.10 19:00ETHUSDT 1hSHORTStrong2,717.322,726.292,699.38Waiting for entry
06.10 19:00BTCUSDT 5mSHORTMedium85,579.685,78885,162.8In progress
06.10 18:37ORCAUSDT 1hLONGMedium1.8041.7781.856Waiting for entry
06.10 18:37ORCAUSDT 5mLONGStrong2.5642.4832.727Waiting for entry
06.10 18:37ORCAUSDT 1dLONGWeak1.4021.2701.667Waiting for entry
06.10 18:20ADAUSDT 5mSHORTMedium0.27310.27350.2723Waiting for entry
06.10 18:05NEARUSDT 5mLONGWeak5.0325.0185.060Target reached · +2.00R
06.10 17:01SUIUSDT 1hSHORTWeak1.2021.2111.185Waiting for entry
06.10 17:00ADAUSDT 5mLONGMedium0.27150.27000.2745In progress
06.10 17:00NVDAUSDT 1hLONGStrong235.360235.007236.067Waiting for entry
06.10 17:00MUUSDT 5mLONGStrong1,063.61,061.951,066.91Target reached · +2.00R
06.10 17:00MRVLUSDT 5mLONGStrong271.710261.012293.106Waiting for entry
06.10 16:00SOLUSDT 5mSHORTMedium120.970122.011118.887In progress
06.10 15:05XAUUSDT 5mLONGStrong4,157.014,147.344,176.35Waiting for entry
06.10 15:04RLCUSDT 5mSHORTWeak0.87520.90150.8226Waiting for entry
06.10 14:30XAUUSDT 15mSHORTMedium4,159.864,183.934,111.71Stop hit · -1.00R
06.10 14:05BNBUSDT 5mSHORTMedium786.590786.883786.003Stop hit · -1.00R
06.10 13:45UNIUSDT 15mLONGWeak8.8658.8248.948Stop hit · -1.00R
06.10 13:45FILUSDT 5mSHORTStrong1.1581.1611.151Stop hit · -1.00R
06.10 13:45SPCXUSDT 15mLONGWeak172.800171.013176.374In progress
06.10 13:45SNDKUSDT 15mSHORTWeak1,699.051,717.531,662.09Waiting for entry
06.10 13:44BTCUSDT 5mLONGStrong86,13085,929.9486,530.11Stop hit · -1.00R
06.10 13:40SKHYNIXUSDT 5mSHORTStrong1,340.31,342.711,335.48Waiting for entry
06.10 13:35DOGEUSDT 5mLONGMedium0.095370.095150.09581Stop hit · -1.00R
06.10 13:35SPCXUSDT 5mLONGWeak171.950171.036173.777In progress
06.10 13:35ENAUSDT 5mLONGWeak0.24010.23860.2432Stop hit · -1.00R
06.10 13:35XRPUSDT 5mLONGStrong1.5091.5061.515Stop hit · -1.00R
06.10 13:15HYPEUSDT 15mSHORTStrong93.64693.97292.995Waiting for entry
06.10 13:15CLUSDT 15mLONGMedium87.37086.83688.438Waiting for entry
06.10 12:30UNIUSDT 5mSHORTStrong8.8868.9108.838Stop hit · -1.00R
06.10 12:30SOXLUSDT 5mSHORTMedium167.990168.335167.300Stop hit · -1.00R
06.10 11:45ZECUSDT 5mLONGStrong1,360.071,356.641,366.93Stop hit · -1.00R
06.10 11:40ENAUSDT 15mSHORTStrong0.24500.24670.2416Waiting for entry
06.10 11:40XAUUSDT 15mLONGStrong4,125.674,117.24,142.6Waiting for entry
06.10 11:40FILUSDT 15mSHORTWeak1.1881.2121.139Waiting for entry
06.10 11:40FILUSDT 5mSHORTWeak1.2041.2121.187Waiting for entry
06.10 11:40MUUSDT 5mLONGStrong1,058.071,057.031,060.15Stop hit · -1.00R
06.10 11:40GTCUSDT 15mSHORTStrong0.17510.17790.1695Stop hit · -1.00R
06.10 11:40RLCUSDT 1dLONGMedium0.27650.25640.3167Waiting for entry
06.10 11:40ADAUSDT 4hLONGMedium0.24380.24150.2483Waiting for entry
06.10 11:40GTCUSDT 1dLONGWeak0.075370.072360.08139Waiting for entry
06.10 11:40ENAUSDT 1dLONGWeak0.086510.080410.09871Waiting for entry
06.10 11:40XRPUSDT 1dLONGWeak1.0600.98091.218Waiting for entry
06.10 11:40GTCUSDT 4hLONGStrong0.12370.10760.1558Waiting for entry
06.10 11:40SOLUSDT 1dLONGMedium75.96073.72880.425Waiting for entry
06.10 11:40RLCUSDT 4hLONGStrong0.36640.35790.3833Waiting for entry
06.10 11:40BNBUSDT 4hLONGStrong759.030749.809777.472Waiting for entry
06.10 11:40NEARUSDT 1hLONGWeak4.8034.7244.961Waiting for entry
06.10 11:40SPCXUSDT 1hLONGMedium160.100158.189163.922Waiting for entry
05.10 20:51QNTUSDT 15mLONGMedium251.620249.834255.191Waiting for entry
05.10 20:05XAUUSDT 5mSHORTWeak4,146.364,147.424,144.24Target reached · +2.00R
05.10 19:44UNIUSDT 5mSHORTMedium9.1129.1439.051Stop hit · -1.00R
05.10 19:31GTCUSDT 5mSHORTMedium0.19440.19910.1850Stop hit · -1.00R
05.10 18:55SOXLUSDT 5mSHORTMedium163.550164.167162.316Stop hit · -1.00R
05.10 18:40UNIUSDT 4hSHORTMedium9.0489.2638.618In progress
05.10 18:40SOXLUSDT 4hSHORTStrong164.350170.150152.749In progress
05.10 18:401000PEPEUSDT 1dLONGMedium0.0028100.0025130.003404Waiting for entry
05.10 18:40CRCLUSDT 4hSHORTStrong88.96090.50285.877Waiting for entry
05.10 18:40MOVRUSDT 4hLONGMedium1.8101.6282.173Waiting for entry
05.10 18:40MOVRUSDT 4hLONGMedium1.0040.92541.163Waiting for entry
05.10 18:40DOGEUSDT 4hSHORTMedium0.098630.099160.09758Waiting for entry
05.10 18:35MOVRUSDT 5mSHORTMedium2.0072.0571.907Waiting for entry
05.10 18:17UNIUSDT 15mLONGWeak8.8868.8289.002Stop hit · -1.00R
05.10 18:16SNDKUSDT 5mSHORTStrong1,717.11,719.381,712.54Stop hit · -1.00R
05.10 17:50XAUUSDT 5mLONGMedium4,133.274,129.74,140.42Stop hit · -1.00R
05.10 17:15RLCUSDT 15mLONGStrong0.53930.51600.5859Waiting for entry
05.10 17:10MUUSDT 15mSHORTStrong1,079.991,081.661,076.65Waiting for entry
05.10 17:10SOLUSDT 5mSHORTStrong120.640121.222119.476Stop hit · -1.00R
05.10 17:10ZECUSDT 5mSHORTStrong1,342.341,367.621,291.78In progress
05.10 17:10ADAUSDT 15mSHORTStrong0.27510.27710.2712Cancelled
05.10 17:10CLUSDT 15mLONGStrong89.77089.12991.053Stop hit · -1.00R
05.10 17:10SOXLUSDT 1hSHORTMedium164.440169.983153.353In progress
05.10 17:10ZECUSDT 15mSHORTStrong1,331.851,368.081,259.4In progress
05.10 17:10WLDUSDT 5mSHORTStrong0.57050.57400.5634Waiting for entry
05.10 17:10XAUUSDT 5mSHORTWeak4,149.734,152.474,144.25Stop hit · -1.00R
05.10 17:10XAUUSDT 5mSHORTMedium4,161.024,169.924,143.21In progress
05.10 17:10ENAUSDT 15mLONGStrong0.23920.23630.2450In progress
05.10 17:10DOGEUSDT 1hLONGWeak0.092890.092420.09384Waiting for entry

An honest forecast journal: why levels are frozen

The journal records every forecast the site publishes, with its entry, stop and target frozen at the moment of publication. Later changes to the scanner do not rewrite old records, so the statistics show what a visitor actually saw. Each record ends with a result: target, stop, expired without entry, or still open.

How results are counted

Results are measured in R, the risk of the trade. A trade that reaches the 2R target counts as +2R, a stopped trade as −1R, both minus the 0.08% round-trip fee converted to R. If one candle touches both the stop and the target, the stop is counted first. Results are grouped by idea quality, so you can see whether "strong" ideas really behave differently from "weak" ones.

Why a journal matters

Backtests can be tuned to the past. A journal cannot: it grows only forward, one closed candle at a time. That is why we keep it public, including losing streaks. The journal is maintained by the production server; a small sample says little, so read the sample size next to every number before drawing conclusions.

Reading the journal statistics

Look at three numbers together: the number of closed trades, the share of trades that reached the target, and the average result in R after fees. A high hit rate with a negative average means the losses are larger than the wins. A positive average on twenty trades can be pure chance; on several hundred it starts to mean something. The journal also shows forecasts that expired without an entry: they cost nothing, but they show how often price never came back to the level.

Questions and answers

Can past forecasts be edited?

No. Levels are frozen at publication and results are calculated from later candles only.

Why do some forecasts have no result?

Price has not reached the entry, the stop or the target yet, or the idea expired without an entry.

How many trades are needed for a conclusion?

At least 50–100 closed trades, and even then the confidence interval is wide. We show the sample size next to every statistic.

Why does the journal differ from the history page?

History is recalculated with the current rules, while the journal keeps what was published. When rules change, the journal still shows the original levels.

Where is the journal stored?

In the database of the production server, which also makes daily backups. Local copies used for development are not the source of truth.

Does the journal include fees?

Yes, every result is net of a 0.08% round-trip fee converted to R.