SOLUSDT 1d · Quasimodo · long

WAITING FOR A RETURN TO QMLOpen · updated 06.10 00:00 UTC · forecast for SOLUSDT

QML (entry zone)Order blockImbalance (FVG)Tap the markers for explanations · time in UTC · delta and CVD below

Scenario · LONG from QML

Entry zone74.570 – 75.960

Stop (beyond the head)73.728

Target (2R)80.425

Structure break level77.330 · 0.6R

Next swing further out77.480

StatusWaiting for price to return to the QML zone

History of this pattern on Binance data

1d, long: reached the 2R target before the stop in 6 of 32 completed returns (19%), on average -0.44R.

All markets: 21% of 1051, on average -0.37R. Breaking even at 2R needs 33%.

The scenario is built from the setup's own levels and is not a forecast. History is a simulation on closed candles (without fees; if a candle touches both the stop and the target, the stop counts). It is the base frequency of the pattern, not the probability for a specific trade.

Setup

Quasimodo · longWAITING FOR A RETURN TO QML

6Confirmations

1Against

2Unknown

Structure

Liquidity taken✅

BOS (break of structure)✅

QML not touched✅

Left shoulder74.570

Head74.000

Structural level77.330

Sweep size0.5700 (0.24 ATR)

Break strength8.040 (3.36 ATR)

Candles shoulder → head5

Candles head → break3

Liquidity

Previous low taken✅

Equal lows✅

The sweep was confirmed by a second engine✅

Order block

Bullish order block at QML✅

StateFresh

Touches0

Overlap with QML53%

Imbalance (FVG)

FVG in the QML zone✅

StateFilled

Overlap with QML82%

Order flow

Delta confirms the breakFor

Aggressive buyers: 52% of the break candle volume

CVD confirmed the headAgainst

Seller pressure at the head did not weaken

Absorption at QMLNo data

Waiting for a return to QML

Footprint (from trades)No data

QML not touched yet

Delta, CVD and absorption are computed from the aggressive buy volume in each candle (an approximation). A trade-level footprint exists only for candles we collected live.

Higher timeframe

For the 1d there is no higher timeframe—

Background only, it does not affect the setup itself.

Timeline

14.08 00:00Liquidity formed: local low 74.570 (left shoulder)
15.08 00:00Structural high 77.330 confirmed
17.08 00:00Price took out the liquidity beyond the left shoulder
19.08 00:00Head 74.000 confirmed
20.08 00:00BOS: close above the structural high 77.330. Quasimodo confirmed

Why this setup was found

First the market formed a local low 74.570 (left shoulder). Stop orders piled up below it, that is, liquidity.

Then price took that liquidity: the head reached 74.000, which is 0.5700 (0.24 ATR) below the left shoulder.

Then price closed above the previous structural high 77.330 (close 85.370). This is a bullish BOS: a break of structure.

The left shoulder zone (74.570–75.960) became the QML level: price often returns here before continuing the move.

A fresh bullish order block overlaps QML by 53%: big players already built positions in this zone.

Filled bullish imbalance (FVG) overlaps QML by 82%.

There were equal lows nearby: they were what price hunted.

On the break candle aggressive buyers dominated (52% of volume).

Now: waiting for price to return to QML.

This is a scenario built from market data, not a guarantee of the result.

Confirmations and contradictions

Liquidity takenConfirmation

Equal lowsConfirmation

QML not touched yetConfirmation

Fresh bullish order block at QMLConfirmation

Imbalance (FVG) in the QML zoneConfirmation

Delta confirms the breakConfirmation

CVD confirmed the headAgainst

Absorption at QMLUnknown

Footprint (from trades)Unknown