Хронология
- Liquidity formed: local high 9.131 (left shoulder)
- Structural low 9.077 confirmed
- Price took out the liquidity beyond the left shoulder
- Head 9.140 confirmed
- CHoCH: close below the structural low 9.077. Quasimodo confirmed
- Price is approaching QML
- Price entered the QML zone
- Idea cancelled: Close above the head (9.140)
Почему этот сетап найден
First the market formed a local high 9.131 (left shoulder). Stop orders piled up above it, that is, liquidity.
Then price took that liquidity: the head reached 9.140, which is 0.009000 (0.31 ATR) above the left shoulder.
Then price closed below the previous structural low 9.077 (close 9.072). This is a bearish CHoCH: a change of market character.
The left shoulder zone (9.112–9.131) became the QML level: price often returns here before continuing the move.
There were equal highs nearby: they were what price hunted.
Structure on 15m: bullish (against this idea).
Structure on 1h: bullish (against this idea).
On the break candle aggressive sellers dominated (71% of volume).
There was no absorption on the candle that returned to QML.
Result: the idea was cancelled.
This is a scenario built from market data, not a guarantee of the result.