Mike Bellafiore
Co-founder of SMB Capital, a proprietary trading firm; author of “The PlayBook”
Intraday stock trading, scaling in and out, risk as a share of the daily stop. The only intraday-desk view in this list: risk is set as a percentage of the daily stop, and a worked example of scaling in and out is given from a real breakout trade.
Sources
- What Are Your Trading Rules? (SMB Training blog) — own siteThe post shows no date; it is signed by Bellafiore and quotes “The PlayBook”.
- The Danger To Your Trading Account Of Not Risking Enough In Your Best Stock Trading Opportunities (SMB Training blog, 10 Jan 2020) — own site, 2020A video transcript generated automatically; figures in the example may be garbled.
Rules
- EntryExample (earnings breakout): first entry of two tiers on the break above the earnings pre-market high, stop below the opening low.[2]
- EntrySecond entry of two tiers on the break above the 200-day moving average on volume, with the stop below the significant pullback low of the opening consolidation.[2]
- EntryIf the stock consolidates at the target and breaks to a new high, add two tiers again, with the stop below that consolidation low; later targets sell about half, then a quarter, of what remains.[2]
- StopWhen adding, move the stop on the whole position below the new consolidation low: the closer stop keeps total risk near the planned percentage.[2]
- ExitAt the first target (about 50 cents above the earnings high): if the stock turns down, sell about 75% and reassess; if it keeps going, sell only about 25% and trail the stop below the target.[2]
- ExitReasons to sell a working position: the price target is reached, the intraday trend breaks, or breaking market news.[1]
- Size and risk“Rule of risk” from The PlayBook: on every A+ setup, put 30 percent of the intraday stop loss at risk.[1]
- Size and riskAfter each profitable month, raise the intraday stop (and with it the size on A+ setups) gradually.[1]
- Size and riskThink in percentages of the daily stop, not in dollars or shares: one “tier” = 10% of the daily stop; the example plan risked 40% in total.[2]
- DisciplineHave in advance an answer to: when to stop trading after making money, which market conditions suit your system, what you do in a losing streak, and what you do when you break your own rules.[1]
Not confirmed
Often attributed to this trader, but not found in the sources above. Not listed as his or her rules.
- The criteria of what counts as an “A+” setup are in his books and were not read.
Limits of these rules
This is one worked example, not a back-tested system, and the numbers in the example (prices of a single stock) are an illustration. The risk method itself (a fixed share of the daily stop) is the transferable part.
Other traders
Rules are our paraphrase of the sources; only short quotes are verbatim. This is information, not advice or a promise of profit.