Ed Seykota

Systems trader, one of the early computerized trend followers

AA — the trader’s own published text (rule document, own site) was read.

Trend following, moving averages and support/resistance. Seykota publishes two complete example systems on his own site, with the testing assumptions written out. They are teaching examples built on one instrument each, not his live method.

A published rule is a hypothesis, not evidence of profit. We do not know how often these rules won, and traders who publish their methods are the ones who survived.

Sources

  1. A Simple Exponential Crossover System (Trading Systems Project) — own site
  2. A Simple Support and Resistance System (Trading Systems Project) — own site
  3. Ed Seykota Trading Rules Essentials (published by Michael Covel’s Trend Following) — interview
    A list of six titles from his Trading Tribe card; the page does not explain them.

Rules

Filter
Entry
Stop
Exit
Size and risk
Discipline

Not confirmed

Often attributed to this trader, but not found in the sources above. Not listed as his or her rules.

Limits of these rules

Both pages are back-tests on one instrument with a 50% “skid” assumption and no commissions. The author presents them as examples, not as a live record. The crossover example ends well in the test, which is not evidence of future results.

On this site

Trend board (a 4h rule family)

Other traders

Turtle Traders (Dennis)QullamaggiePeter BrandtLinda RaschkePaul Tudor JonesDruckenmillerMark MinerviniMike BellafioreRichard WyckoffAndreas ClenowMeb FaberJohn BollingerRob CarverAdam GrimesStockbee (Bonde)Thomas BulkowskiEdward ThorpCesar AlvarezHamilton (Dow Theory)Andrew AzizLarry ConnorsGary AntonacciBrett SteenbargerORB on QQQ (Zarattini, Aziz)200-day + N days on QQQ (Alvarez)Double 7’s on QQQ (Alvarez)RSI(2) on QQQ and QLD (Alvarez)UPRO/TQQQ rotation (Alvarez)QQQ ORB out of sample (mericck)NQ rebound after overnight dropNQ last half-hour (Baltussen et al.)NQ setups: design vs holdoutAll rules

Rules are our paraphrase of the sources; only short quotes are verbatim. This is information, not advice or a promise of profit.

Ed Seykota: trading rules

Seykota publishes two complete example systems on his own site, with the testing assumptions written out. They are teaching examples built on one instrument each, not his live method.

Both pages are back-tests on one instrument with a 50% “skid” assumption and no commissions. The author presents them as examples, not as a live record. The crossover example ends well in the test, which is not evidence of future results.

Questions and answers

What moving averages does Ed Seykota use?

On his site the example is an exponential crossover, 15 and 150 as the base case. He also shows 85/325 and notes 90/330 as pretty good values. These are test examples on the S&P, not a statement of his live settings.

What are Seykota’s trading rules?

Six essentials: ride your winners, cut your losses, manage your risk, use stops, stick to the system, file the news.