Forecast: CLUSDT
A ready idea: where the entry is, where the stop is, where the target is and why we think so. ← all ideas
LONG
CLUSDT · 15m · waiting for price to return to the entry zone
Idea qualityMedium6 for · 1 against
Entry zone87.130 – 87.370
Stop86.836
Target (2R)88.438
To the entry zone2.54%
What to do
- Do not enter immediately. Wait for price to come back down into the zone 87.130–87.370 (now 89.650, 2.54% to the zone).
- Enter the long from 87.370, stop 86.836 (beyond the head), target 88.438: that is 2R, profit twice the risk.
- If price closes below 86.836 before entry, the idea is cancelled.
Why exactly here (6)
- Liquidity taken: Price took out the left shoulder low by 0.2500 and reversed
- Change of character (CHoCH): The break reversed the previous market structure
- QML not touched yet: Price has not returned to the level since the break
- Fresh bullish order block at QML: Overlaps the QML zone by 83%
- Delta confirms the break: Aggressive buyers: 53% of the break candle volume
- CVD divergence at the head: Sellers were weaker on the push than at the left shoulder
What is against (1)
- 1h: structure is bearish: The higher timeframe points the other way
Not known yet
- Absorption at QML: Waiting for a return to QML
- Footprint (from trades): QML not touched yet
What history says
On history, 15m long: 43 of 196 completed trades reached the 2R target (22%). Breaking even at 2R needs 33%.
Quality is calculated like this: confirmations minus 2 × contradictions (≥5 strong, 2–4 medium, otherwise weak). This is not a probability of profit: in the History section, idea quality did not predict the result.
This forecast is recorded in the journal with frozen levels, and the result will be counted in the statistics.
Open the detailed breakdownStopTarget 2REntry zone (QML)Hover or tap the markers · time in UTC