Liquidation map

Estimated levels where leveraged positions would be liquidated.

Liquidation levels around the price

Largest clusters

Check against reality

Assumptions

Liquidation map: what it shows and why it is only an estimate

A liquidation map shows the price levels where leveraged futures positions would be forced out if the price reached them. When many longs sit just below the price, a fall to that zone can trigger a chain of forced sales; when many shorts sit just above it, a rise can trigger forced buying. This page draws such a map for Bitcoin and Ethereum perpetual futures on Binance: red bars below the price are longs, green bars above are shorts, and a white line adds up the volume you would meet if the price travelled that far.

Binance does not publish this map

No exchange publishes where individual positions will be liquidated, because that would reveal other traders' positions. What Binance does publish is the open interest history, candles and the forced orders that already happened. The map on this page is therefore a model, not exchange data. Other services model it with their own assumptions, so their pictures differ from ours and from each other. We show the assumptions under the chart instead of hiding them.

How the model works

Every time open interest grows during a 15-minute bar, we assume new positions were opened around the typical price of that bar. Their side is unknown, so we split them equally between longs and shorts, and we assume a mix of leverage from 5x to 100x with a maintenance margin of 0.4%. Each position gets a liquidation price. When open interest falls, positions are closed proportionally, and when the price later trades through a level, the positions there are removed as liquidated. The window is 29 days, because Binance serves open interest history only for the last month.

Checking the model against reality

Below the chart we compare what the model says was liquidated over the last 24 hours with what the Binance liquidation stream reported. The stream sends at most one forced order per coin per second and our recording started recently, so it is a lower bound. We do not claim the map predicts price: a cluster of liquidations is a place where forced orders may add fuel to a move, not a promise of a move. Treat it as context, and read it together with the live Liquidations page.

Questions and answers

Is this the real liquidation map from Binance?

No. Binance does not publish one. This is an estimate calculated from open interest and price history with stated assumptions.

Why does it differ from other liquidation maps?

Each service assumes its own leverage mix, long and short split and time window. The result is a model, so the pictures differ.

Does a big cluster mean the price will go there?

No. It shows where forced orders may appear if the price gets there. It does not say that the price will.

Which coins are covered?

Bitcoin and Ethereum for now. More coins can be added if the model proves useful.