Timeline
- Liquidity formed: local high 0.4385 (left shoulder)
- Structural low 0.4284 confirmed
- Price took out the liquidity beyond the left shoulder
- Head 0.4429 confirmed
- CHoCH: close below the structural low 0.4284. Quasimodo confirmed
- Price is approaching QML
- Price entered the QML zone
- Idea played out: After touching QML price closed below the structural level 0.4284
Why this setup was found
First the market formed a local high 0.4385 (left shoulder). Stop orders piled up above it, that is, liquidity.
Then price took that liquidity: the head reached 0.4429, which is 0.004430 (0.64 ATR) above the left shoulder.
Then price closed below the previous structural low 0.4284 (close 0.4198). This is a bearish CHoCH: a change of market character.
The left shoulder zone (0.4358–0.4385) became the QML level: price often returns here before continuing the move.
An already touched bearish order block overlaps QML by 100%: big players already built positions in this zone.
Filled bearish imbalance (FVG) overlaps QML by 9%.
There were equal highs nearby: they were what price hunted.
Structure on 15m: bearish (supports the idea).
Structure on 1h: bearish (supports the idea).
On the break candle aggressive sellers dominated (58% of volume).
There was no absorption on the candle that returned to QML.
Result: the pattern played out and is closed for tracking.
This is a scenario built from market data, not a guarantee of the result.