CLUSDT 1d · Quasimodo · long

WAITING FOR A RETURN TO QMLOpen · updated 06.10 00:00 UTC · forecast for CLUSDT

QML (entry zone)Order blockImbalance (FVG)Tap the markers for explanations · time in UTC · delta and CVD below

Scenario · LONG from QML

Entry zone68.630 – 70.500

Stop (beyond the head)66.782

Target (2R)77.935

Structure break level72.580 · 0.6R

Next swing further out79.980

StatusWaiting for price to return to the QML zone

History of this pattern on Binance data

1d, long: reached the 2R target before the stop in 6 of 33 completed returns (18%), on average -0.45R.

All markets: 21% of 1088, on average -0.38R. Breaking even at 2R needs 33%.

The scenario is built from the setup's own levels and is not a forecast. History is a simulation on closed candles (without fees; if a candle touches both the stop and the target, the stop counts). It is the base frequency of the pattern, not the probability for a specific trade.

Setup

Quasimodo · longWAITING FOR A RETURN TO QML

6Confirmations

1Against

2Unknown

Structure

Liquidity taken✅

CHoCH (change of character)✅

QML not touched✅

Left shoulder68.630

Head67.070

Structural level72.580

Sweep size1.560 (0.41 ATR)

Break strength1.800 (0.47 ATR)

Candles shoulder → head6

Candles head → break6

Liquidity

Previous low taken✅

Equal lows—

The sweep was confirmed by a second engine—

Order block

Bullish order block at QML✅

StateFresh

Touches0

Overlap with QML6%

Imbalance (FVG)

FVG in the QML zone✅

StatePartially filled

Overlap with QML67%

Order flow

Delta confirms the breakFor

Aggressive buyers: 50% of the break candle volume

CVD confirmed the headAgainst

Seller pressure at the head did not weaken

Absorption at QMLNo data

Waiting for a return to QML

Footprint (from trades)No data

QML not touched yet

Delta, CVD and absorption are computed from the aggressive buy volume in each candle (an approximation). A trade-level footprint exists only for candles we collected live.

Higher timeframe

For the 1d there is no higher timeframe—

Background only, it does not affect the setup itself.

Timeline

29.06 00:00Liquidity formed: local low 68.630 (left shoulder)
01.07 00:00Structural high 72.580 confirmed
02.07 00:00Price took out the liquidity beyond the left shoulder
05.07 00:00Head 67.070 confirmed
09.07 00:00CHoCH: close above the structural high 72.580. Quasimodo confirmed
10.07 00:00Price is approaching QML

Why this setup was found

First the market formed a local low 68.630 (left shoulder). Stop orders piled up below it, that is, liquidity.

Then price took that liquidity: the head reached 67.070, which is 1.560 (0.41 ATR) below the left shoulder.

Then price closed above the previous structural high 72.580 (close 74.380). This is a bullish CHoCH: a change of market character.

The left shoulder zone (68.630–70.500) became the QML level: price often returns here before continuing the move.

A fresh bullish order block overlaps QML by 6%: big players already built positions in this zone.

Partially filled bullish imbalance (FVG) overlaps QML by 67%.

On the break candle aggressive buyers dominated (50% of volume).

Now: waiting for price to return to QML.

This is a scenario built from market data, not a guarantee of the result.

Confirmations and contradictions

Liquidity takenConfirmation

Change of character (CHoCH)Confirmation

QML not touched yetConfirmation

Fresh bullish order block at QMLConfirmation

Imbalance (FVG) in the QML zoneConfirmation

Delta confirms the breakConfirmation

CVD confirmed the headAgainst

Absorption at QMLUnknown

Footprint (from trades)Unknown