SKHYNIXUSDT 5m · Quasimodo · short

WAITING FOR A RETURN TO QMLOpen · updated 06.10 19:30 UTC · forecast for SKHYNIXUSDT

QML (entry zone)Tap the markers for explanations · time in UTC · delta and CVD below

Scenario · SHORT from QML

Entry zone1,340.3 – 1,341.38

Stop (beyond the head)1,342.71

Target (2R)1,335.48

Structure break level1,335.16 · 2.1R

Next swing further out1,334.63

StatusWaiting for price to return to the QML zone

History of this pattern on Binance data

5m, short: reached the 2R target before the stop in 22 of 123 completed returns (18%), on average -0.46R.

All markets: 21% of 1051, on average -0.37R. Breaking even at 2R needs 33%.

The scenario is built from the setup's own levels and is not a forecast. History is a simulation on closed candles (without fees; if a candle touches both the stop and the target, the stop counts). It is the base frequency of the pattern, not the probability for a specific trade.

Setup

Quasimodo · shortWAITING FOR A RETURN TO QML

8Confirmations

0Against

2Unknown

Structure

Liquidity taken✅

CHoCH (change of character)✅

QML not touched✅

Left shoulder1,341.38

Head1,342.42

Structural level1,335.16

Sweep size1.040 (0.51 ATR)

Break strength2.120 (1.04 ATR)

Candles shoulder → head16

Candles head → break1

Liquidity

Previous high taken✅

Equal highs✅

The sweep was confirmed by a second engine—

Order block

No order block at QML—

Imbalance (FVG)

No FVG at QML—

Order flow

Delta confirms the breakFor

Aggressive sellers: 52% of the break candle volume

CVD divergence at the headFor

Buyers were weaker on the push than at the left shoulder

Absorption at QMLNo data

Waiting for a return to QML

Footprint (from trades)No data

QML not touched yet

Delta, CVD and absorption are computed from the aggressive buy volume in each candle (an approximation). A trade-level footprint exists only for candles we collected live.

Higher timeframe

15mBearish structure

1hBearish structure

Background only, it does not affect the setup itself.

Timeline

06.10 12:20Liquidity formed: local high 1,341.4 (left shoulder)
06.10 13:00Structural low 1,335.2 confirmed
06.10 13:10Price took out the liquidity beyond the left shoulder
06.10 13:30Price took out the liquidity beyond the left shoulder
06.10 13:40Head 1,342.4 confirmed
06.10 13:40CHoCH: close below the structural low 1335.2. Quasimodo confirmed
06.10 14:05Price is approaching QML

Why this setup was found

First the market formed a local high 1,341.4 (left shoulder). Stop orders piled up above it, that is, liquidity.

Then price took that liquidity: the head reached 1,342.4, which is 1.040 (0.51 ATR) above the left shoulder.

Then price closed below the previous structural low 1,335.2 (close 1,333). This is a bearish CHoCH: a change of market character.

The left shoulder zone (1,340.3–1,341.4) became the QML level: price often returns here before continuing the move.

There were equal highs nearby: they were what price hunted.

Structure on 15m: bearish (supports the idea).

Structure on 1h: bearish (supports the idea).

On the break candle aggressive sellers dominated (52% of volume).

Now: waiting for price to return to QML.

This is a scenario built from market data, not a guarantee of the result.

Confirmations and contradictions

Liquidity takenConfirmation

Equal highsConfirmation

Change of character (CHoCH)Confirmation

QML not touched yetConfirmation

15m: structure is bearishConfirmation

1h: structure is bearishConfirmation

Delta confirms the breakConfirmation

CVD divergence at the headConfirmation

Absorption at QMLUnknown

Footprint (from trades)Unknown