ORCAUSDT 1h · Quasimodo · long

WAITING FOR A RETURN TO QMLOpen · updated 06.10 20:00 UTC · forecast for ORCAUSDT

QML (entry zone)Tap the markers for explanations · time in UTC · delta and CVD below

Scenario · LONG from QML

Entry zone1.788 – 1.804

Stop (beyond the head)1.778

Target (2R)1.856

Structure break level1.845 · 1.6R

Next swing further out1.858

StatusWaiting for price to return to the QML zone

History of this pattern on Binance data

1h, long: reached the 2R target before the stop in 28 of 99 completed returns (28%), on average -0.15R.

All markets: 21% of 1090, on average -0.38R. Breaking even at 2R needs 33%.

The scenario is built from the setup's own levels and is not a forecast. History is a simulation on closed candles (without fees; if a candle touches both the stop and the target, the stop counts). It is the base frequency of the pattern, not the probability for a specific trade.

Setup

Quasimodo · longWAITING FOR A RETURN TO QML

5Confirmations

1Against

2Unknown

Structure

Liquidity taken✅

BOS (break of structure)✅

QML not touched✅

Left shoulder1.788

Head1.782

Structural level1.845

Sweep size0.006000 (0.30 ATR)

Break strength0.1900 (9.37 ATR)

Candles shoulder → head17

Candles head → break1

Liquidity

Previous low taken✅

Equal lows✅

The sweep was confirmed by a second engine✅

Order block

No order block at QML—

Imbalance (FVG)

No FVG at QML—

Order flow

Delta confirms the breakFor

Aggressive buyers: 51% of the break candle volume

CVD confirmed the headAgainst

Seller pressure at the head did not weaken

Absorption at QMLNo data

Waiting for a return to QML

Footprint (from trades)No data

QML not touched yet

Delta, CVD and absorption are computed from the aggressive buy volume in each candle (an approximation). A trade-level footprint exists only for candles we collected live.

Higher timeframe

4hBullish structure

Background only, it does not affect the setup itself.

Timeline

04.10 03:00Liquidity formed: local low 1.788 (left shoulder)
04.10 16:00Structural high 1.845 confirmed
04.10 18:00Price took out the liquidity beyond the left shoulder
04.10 20:00Head 1.782 confirmed
04.10 20:00BOS: close above the structural high 1.845. Quasimodo confirmed

Why this setup was found

First the market formed a local low 1.788 (left shoulder). Stop orders piled up below it, that is, liquidity.

Then price took that liquidity: the head reached 1.782, which is 0.006000 (0.30 ATR) below the left shoulder.

Then price closed above the previous structural high 1.845 (close 2.035). This is a bullish BOS: a break of structure.

The left shoulder zone (1.788–1.804) became the QML level: price often returns here before continuing the move.

There were equal lows nearby: they were what price hunted.

Structure on 4h: bullish (supports the idea).

On the break candle aggressive buyers dominated (51% of volume).

Now: waiting for price to return to QML.

This is a scenario built from market data, not a guarantee of the result.

Confirmations and contradictions

Liquidity takenConfirmation

Equal lowsConfirmation

QML not touched yetConfirmation

4h: structure is bullishConfirmation

Delta confirms the breakConfirmation

CVD confirmed the headAgainst

Absorption at QMLUnknown

Footprint (from trades)Unknown