Timeline
- Liquidity formed: local low 22.310 (left shoulder)
- Structural high 22.630 confirmed
- Price took out the liquidity beyond the left shoulder
- Head 22.170 confirmed
- CHoCH: close above the structural high 22.630. Quasimodo confirmed
- Idea cancelled: Expired: price did not return to QML in the allotted time
Why this setup was found
First the market formed a local low 22.310 (left shoulder). Stop orders piled up below it, that is, liquidity.
Then price took that liquidity: the head reached 22.170, which is 0.1400 (0.99 ATR) below the left shoulder.
Then price closed above the previous structural high 22.630 (close 22.680). This is a bullish CHoCH: a change of market character.
The left shoulder zone (22.310–22.350) became the QML level: price often returns here before continuing the move.
Partially filled bullish imbalance (FVG) overlaps QML by 100%.
There were equal lows nearby: they were what price hunted.
Structure on 15m: bullish (supports the idea).
Structure on 1h: bullish (supports the idea).
On the break candle the aggressive flow went against the break (46% of volume).
Result: the idea was cancelled.
This is a scenario built from market data, not a guarantee of the result.