Timeline
- Liquidity formed: local high 22.620 (left shoulder)
- Structural low 22.550 confirmed
- Price took out the liquidity beyond the left shoulder
- Head 23.150 confirmed
- CHoCH: close below the structural low 22.550. Quasimodo confirmed
- Price is approaching QML
- Price entered the QML zone
- Idea played out: After touching QML price closed below the structural level 22.550
Why this setup was found
First the market formed a local high 22.620 (left shoulder). Stop orders piled up above it, that is, liquidity.
Then price took that liquidity: the head reached 23.150, which is 0.5300 (8.45 ATR) above the left shoulder.
Then price closed below the previous structural low 22.550 (close 22.450). This is a bearish CHoCH: a change of market character.
The left shoulder zone (22.600–22.620) became the QML level: price often returns here before continuing the move.
There were equal highs nearby: they were what price hunted.
Structure on 4h: bullish (against this idea).
On the break candle aggressive sellers dominated (52% of volume).
There was absorption on the candle that returned to QML: big volume, aggressive flow against the move and a close with a bounce.
Result: the pattern played out and is closed for tracking.
This is a scenario built from market data, not a guarantee of the result.