UNIUSDT 4h · Quasimodo · long

WAITING FOR A RETURN TO QMLOpen · updated 06.10 16:00 UTC · forecast for UNIUSDT

QML (entry zone)Imbalance (FVG)Tap the markers for explanations · time in UTC · delta and CVD below

Scenario · LONG from QML

Entry zone4.232 – 4.267

Stop (beyond the head)4.120

Target (2R)4.561

Structure break level4.474 · 1.4R

Next swing further out4.575

StatusWaiting for price to return to the QML zone

History of this pattern on Binance data

4h, long: reached the 2R target before the stop in 12 of 68 completed returns (18%), on average -0.47R.

All markets: 21% of 1051, on average -0.37R. Breaking even at 2R needs 33%.

The scenario is built from the setup's own levels and is not a forecast. History is a simulation on closed candles (without fees; if a candle touches both the stop and the target, the stop counts). It is the base frequency of the pattern, not the probability for a specific trade.

Setup

Quasimodo · longWAITING FOR A RETURN TO QML

5Confirmations

2Against

2Unknown

Structure

Liquidity taken✅

BOS (break of structure)✅

QML not touched✅

Left shoulder4.232

Head4.135

Structural level4.474

Sweep size0.09700 (0.51 ATR)

Break strength0.04500 (0.24 ATR)

Candles shoulder → head12

Candles head → break5

Liquidity

Previous low taken✅

Equal lows✅

The sweep was confirmed by a second engine✅

Order block

No order block at QML—

Imbalance (FVG)

FVG in the QML zone✅

StateFilled

Overlap with QML100%

Order flow

Delta against the breakAgainst

Aggressive buyers: 49% of the break candle volume

CVD confirmed the headAgainst

Seller pressure at the head did not weaken

Absorption at QMLNo data

Waiting for a return to QML

Footprint (from trades)No data

QML not touched yet

Delta, CVD and absorption are computed from the aggressive buy volume in each candle (an approximation). A trade-level footprint exists only for candles we collected live.

Higher timeframe

1dBullish structure

Background only, it does not affect the setup itself.

Timeline

25.08 04:00Liquidity formed: local low 4.232 (left shoulder)
25.08 12:00Structural high 4.474 confirmed
26.08 00:00Price took out the liquidity beyond the left shoulder
26.08 20:00Price took out the liquidity beyond the left shoulder
27.08 04:00Head 4.135 confirmed
27.08 16:00BOS: close above the structural high 4.474. Quasimodo confirmed
28.08 20:00Price is approaching QML

Why this setup was found

First the market formed a local low 4.232 (left shoulder). Stop orders piled up below it, that is, liquidity.

Then price took that liquidity: the head reached 4.135, which is 0.09700 (0.51 ATR) below the left shoulder.

Then price closed above the previous structural high 4.474 (close 4.519). This is a bullish BOS: a break of structure.

The left shoulder zone (4.232–4.267) became the QML level: price often returns here before continuing the move.

Filled bullish imbalance (FVG) overlaps QML by 100%.

There were equal lows nearby: they were what price hunted.

Structure on 1d: bullish (supports the idea).

On the break candle the aggressive flow went against the break (49% of volume).

Now: waiting for price to return to QML.

This is a scenario built from market data, not a guarantee of the result.

Confirmations and contradictions

Liquidity takenConfirmation

Equal lowsConfirmation

QML not touched yetConfirmation

Imbalance (FVG) in the QML zoneConfirmation

1d: structure is bullishConfirmation

Delta against the breakAgainst

CVD confirmed the headAgainst

Absorption at QMLUnknown

Footprint (from trades)Unknown