SOLUSDT 1d · Quasimodo · short

WAITING FOR A RETURN TO QMLOpen · updated 06.10 00:00 UTC · forecast for SOLUSDT

QML (entry zone)Order blockImbalance (FVG)Tap the markers for explanations · time in UTC · delta and CVD below

Scenario · SHORT from QML

Entry zone141.030 – 143.450

Stop (beyond the head)149.430

Target (2R)124.230

Structure break level132.500 · 1.0R

Next swing further out132.385

StatusWaiting for price to return to the QML zone

History of this pattern on Binance data

1d, short: reached the 2R target before the stop in 8 of 35 completed returns (23%), on average -0.31R.

All markets: 21% of 1051, on average -0.37R. Breaking even at 2R needs 33%.

The scenario is built from the setup's own levels and is not a forecast. History is a simulation on closed candles (without fees; if a candle touches both the stop and the target, the stop counts). It is the base frequency of the pattern, not the probability for a specific trade.

Setup

Quasimodo · shortWAITING FOR A RETURN TO QML

8Confirmations

0Against

2Unknown

Structure

Liquidity taken✅

CHoCH (change of character)✅

QML not touched✅

Left shoulder143.450

Head148.800

Structural level132.500

Sweep size5.350 (0.89 ATR)

Break strength6.780 (1.12 ATR)

Candles shoulder → head7

Candles head → break7

Liquidity

Previous high taken✅

Equal highs✅

The sweep was confirmed by a second engine✅

Order block

Bearish order block at QML✅

StateFresh

Touches0

Overlap with QML46%

Imbalance (FVG)

FVG in the QML zone✅

StateUntouched

Overlap with QML89%

Order flow

Delta confirms the breakFor

Aggressive sellers: 53% of the break candle volume

CVD divergence at the headFor

Buyers were weaker on the push than at the left shoulder

Absorption at QMLNo data

Waiting for a return to QML

Footprint (from trades)No data

QML not touched yet

Delta, CVD and absorption are computed from the aggressive buy volume in each candle (an approximation). A trade-level footprint exists only for candles we collected live.

Higher timeframe

For the 1d there is no higher timeframe—

Background only, it does not affect the setup itself.

Timeline

09.01 00:00Liquidity formed: local high 143.5 (left shoulder)
11.01 00:00Structural low 132.5 confirmed
13.01 00:00Price took out the liquidity beyond the left shoulder
16.01 00:00Head 148.8 confirmed
21.01 00:00CHoCH: close below the structural low 132.5. Quasimodo confirmed

Why this setup was found

First the market formed a local high 143.5 (left shoulder). Stop orders piled up above it, that is, liquidity.

Then price took that liquidity: the head reached 148.8, which is 5.350 (0.89 ATR) above the left shoulder.

Then price closed below the previous structural low 132.5 (close 125.7). This is a bearish CHoCH: a change of market character.

The left shoulder zone (141–143.5) became the QML level: price often returns here before continuing the move.

A fresh bearish order block overlaps QML by 46%: big players already built positions in this zone.

Untouched bearish imbalance (FVG) overlaps QML by 89%.

There were equal highs nearby: they were what price hunted.

On the break candle aggressive sellers dominated (53% of volume).

Now: waiting for price to return to QML.

This is a scenario built from market data, not a guarantee of the result.

Confirmations and contradictions

Liquidity takenConfirmation

Equal highsConfirmation

Change of character (CHoCH)Confirmation

QML not touched yetConfirmation

Fresh bearish order block at QMLConfirmation

Imbalance (FVG) in the QML zoneConfirmation

Delta confirms the breakConfirmation

CVD divergence at the headConfirmation

Absorption at QMLUnknown

Footprint (from trades)Unknown