SKHYUSDT 1h · Quasimodo · long

PRICE IN THE QML ZONEOpen · updated 06.10 19:00 UTC · forecast for SKHYUSDT

QML (entry zone)Tap the markers for explanations · time in UTC · delta and CVD below

Scenario · LONG from QML

Entry zone185.740 – 186.640

Stop (beyond the head)182.464

Target (2R)194.992

Structure break level188.160 · 0.4R

Next swing further out188.170

StatusIn progress: QML touched, no target or stop yet

History of this pattern on Binance data

1h, long: reached the 2R target before the stop in 27 of 95 completed returns (28%), on average -0.15R.

All markets: 21% of 1051, on average -0.37R. Breaking even at 2R needs 33%.

The scenario is built from the setup's own levels and is not a forecast. History is a simulation on closed candles (without fees; if a candle touches both the stop and the target, the stop counts). It is the base frequency of the pattern, not the probability for a specific trade.

Setup

Quasimodo · longPRICE IN THE QML ZONE

3Confirmations

4Against

1Unknown

Structure

Liquidity taken✅

CHoCH (change of character)✅

QML already touchedtouched

Left shoulder185.740

Head182.660

Structural level188.160

Sweep size3.080 (2.03 ATR)

Break strength2.150 (1.42 ATR)

Candles shoulder → head6

Candles head → break3

Liquidity

Previous low taken✅

Equal lows✅

The sweep was confirmed by a second engine—

Order block

No order block at QML—

Imbalance (FVG)

No FVG at QML—

Order flow

Delta against the breakAgainst

Aggressive buyers: 47% of the break candle volume

CVD confirmed the headAgainst

Seller pressure at the head did not weaken

No absorption at QMLAgainst

Touch candle volume 1.0× the average; aggressive sellers: yes; bounce (close in the upper part of the candle): yes

Footprint (from trades)No data

No trade data for the touch candle (the footprint is collected only live)

Delta, CVD and absorption are computed from the aggressive buy volume in each candle (an approximation). A trade-level footprint exists only for candles we collected live.

Higher timeframe

4hBearish structure ⚠

Background only, it does not affect the setup itself.

Timeline

01.10 11:00Liquidity formed: local low 185.7 (left shoulder)
01.10 13:00Structural high 188.2 confirmed
01.10 14:00Price took out the liquidity beyond the left shoulder
01.10 17:00Head 182.7 confirmed
01.10 18:00CHoCH: close above the structural high 188.2. Quasimodo confirmed
06.10 16:00Price is approaching QML
06.10 18:00Price entered the QML zone

Why this setup was found

First the market formed a local low 185.7 (left shoulder). Stop orders piled up below it, that is, liquidity.

Then price took that liquidity: the head reached 182.7, which is 3.080 (2.03 ATR) below the left shoulder.

Then price closed above the previous structural high 188.2 (close 190.3). This is a bullish CHoCH: a change of market character.

The left shoulder zone (185.7–186.6) became the QML level: price often returns here before continuing the move.

There were equal lows nearby: they were what price hunted.

Structure on 4h: bearish (against this idea).

On the break candle the aggressive flow went against the break (47% of volume).

There was no absorption on the candle that returned to QML.

Now: price entered the QML zone.

This is a scenario built from market data, not a guarantee of the result.

Confirmations and contradictions

Liquidity takenConfirmation

Equal lowsConfirmation

Change of character (CHoCH)Confirmation

4h: structure is bearishAgainst

Delta against the breakAgainst

CVD confirmed the headAgainst

No absorption at QMLAgainst

Footprint (from trades)Unknown