SKHYNIXUSDT 4h · Quasimodo · long

WAITING FOR A RETURN TO QMLOpen · updated 06.10 16:00 UTC · forecast for SKHYNIXUSDT

QML (entry zone)Tap the markers for explanations · time in UTC · delta and CVD below

Scenario · LONG from QML

Entry zone1,165.61 – 1,182.03

Stop (beyond the head)1,146.01

Target (2R)1,254.07

Structure break level1,218.41 · 1.0R

Next swing further out1,221.99

StatusWaiting for price to return to the QML zone

History of this pattern on Binance data

4h, long: reached the 2R target before the stop in 12 of 68 completed returns (18%), on average -0.47R.

All markets: 21% of 1051, on average -0.37R. Breaking even at 2R needs 33%.

The scenario is built from the setup's own levels and is not a forecast. History is a simulation on closed candles (without fees; if a candle touches both the stop and the target, the stop counts). It is the base frequency of the pattern, not the probability for a specific trade.

Setup

Quasimodo · longWAITING FOR A RETURN TO QML

6Confirmations

1Against

2Unknown

Structure

Liquidity taken✅

CHoCH (change of character)✅

QML not touched✅

Left shoulder1,165.61

Head1,148.39

Structural level1,218.41

Sweep size17.220 (0.69 ATR)

Break strength6.810 (0.27 ATR)

Candles shoulder → head5

Candles head → break7

Liquidity

Previous low taken✅

Equal lows✅

The sweep was confirmed by a second engine✅

Order block

No order block at QML—

Imbalance (FVG)

No FVG at QML—

Order flow

Delta against the breakAgainst

Aggressive buyers: 49% of the break candle volume

CVD divergence at the headFor

Sellers were weaker on the push than at the left shoulder

Absorption at QMLNo data

Waiting for a return to QML

Footprint (from trades)No data

QML not touched yet

Delta, CVD and absorption are computed from the aggressive buy volume in each candle (an approximation). A trade-level footprint exists only for candles we collected live.

Higher timeframe

1dBullish structure

Background only, it does not affect the setup itself.

Timeline

02.09 20:00Liquidity formed: local low 1,165.6 (left shoulder)
03.09 04:00Structural high 1,218.4 confirmed
03.09 08:00Price took out the liquidity beyond the left shoulder
03.09 16:00Head 1,148.4 confirmed
04.09 12:00CHoCH: close above the structural high 1218.4. Quasimodo confirmed

Why this setup was found

First the market formed a local low 1,165.6 (left shoulder). Stop orders piled up below it, that is, liquidity.

Then price took that liquidity: the head reached 1,148.4, which is 17.220 (0.69 ATR) below the left shoulder.

Then price closed above the previous structural high 1,218.4 (close 1,225.2). This is a bullish CHoCH: a change of market character.

The left shoulder zone (1,165.6–1,182) became the QML level: price often returns here before continuing the move.

There were equal lows nearby: they were what price hunted.

Structure on 1d: bullish (supports the idea).

On the break candle the aggressive flow went against the break (49% of volume).

Now: waiting for price to return to QML.

This is a scenario built from market data, not a guarantee of the result.

Confirmations and contradictions

Liquidity takenConfirmation

Equal lowsConfirmation

Change of character (CHoCH)Confirmation

QML not touched yetConfirmation

1d: structure is bullishConfirmation

Delta against the breakAgainst

CVD divergence at the headConfirmation

Absorption at QMLUnknown

Footprint (from trades)Unknown