HYPEUSDT 1h · Quasimodo · long

WAITING FOR A RETURN TO QMLOpen · updated 06.10 19:00 UTC · forecast for HYPEUSDT

QML (entry zone)Tap the markers for explanations · time in UTC · delta and CVD below

Scenario · LONG from QML

Entry zone87.918 – 88.086

Stop (beyond the head)87.647

Target (2R)88.963

Structure break level88.837 · 1.7R

Next swing further out88.858

StatusWaiting for price to return to the QML zone

History of this pattern on Binance data

1h, long: reached the 2R target before the stop in 27 of 95 completed returns (28%), on average -0.15R.

All markets: 21% of 1051, on average -0.37R. Breaking even at 2R needs 33%.

The scenario is built from the setup's own levels and is not a forecast. History is a simulation on closed candles (without fees; if a candle touches both the stop and the target, the stop counts). It is the base frequency of the pattern, not the probability for a specific trade.

Setup

Quasimodo · longWAITING FOR A RETURN TO QML

5Confirmations

2Against

2Unknown

Structure

Liquidity taken✅

CHoCH (change of character)✅

QML not touched✅

Left shoulder87.918

Head87.725

Structural level88.837

Sweep size0.1930 (0.18 ATR)

Break strength0.02500 (0.02 ATR)

Candles shoulder → head4

Candles head → break7

Liquidity

Previous low taken✅

Equal lows✅

The sweep was confirmed by a second engine—

Order block

No order block at QML—

Imbalance (FVG)

No FVG at QML—

Order flow

Delta against the breakAgainst

Aggressive buyers: 49% of the break candle volume

CVD confirmed the headAgainst

Seller pressure at the head did not weaken

Absorption at QMLNo data

Waiting for a return to QML

Footprint (from trades)No data

QML not touched yet

Delta, CVD and absorption are computed from the aggressive buy volume in each candle (an approximation). A trade-level footprint exists only for candles we collected live.

Higher timeframe

4hBullish structure

Background only, it does not affect the setup itself.

Timeline

03.10 07:00Liquidity formed: local low 87.918 (left shoulder)
03.10 08:00Structural high 88.837 confirmed
03.10 09:00Price took out the liquidity beyond the left shoulder
03.10 11:00Head 87.725 confirmed
03.10 16:00CHoCH: close above the structural high 88.837. Quasimodo confirmed

Why this setup was found

First the market formed a local low 87.918 (left shoulder). Stop orders piled up below it, that is, liquidity.

Then price took that liquidity: the head reached 87.725, which is 0.1930 (0.18 ATR) below the left shoulder.

Then price closed above the previous structural high 88.837 (close 88.862). This is a bullish CHoCH: a change of market character.

The left shoulder zone (87.918–88.086) became the QML level: price often returns here before continuing the move.

There were equal lows nearby: they were what price hunted.

Structure on 4h: bullish (supports the idea).

On the break candle the aggressive flow went against the break (49% of volume).

Now: waiting for price to return to QML.

This is a scenario built from market data, not a guarantee of the result.

Confirmations and contradictions

Liquidity takenConfirmation

Equal lowsConfirmation

Change of character (CHoCH)Confirmation

QML not touched yetConfirmation

4h: structure is bullishConfirmation

Delta against the breakAgainst

CVD confirmed the headAgainst

Absorption at QMLUnknown

Footprint (from trades)Unknown