HYPEUSDT 1d · Quasimodo · long

WAITING FOR A RETURN TO QMLOpen · updated 06.10 00:00 UTC · forecast for HYPEUSDT

QML (entry zone)Tap the markers for explanations · time in UTC · delta and CVD below

Scenario · LONG from QML

Entry zone38.706 – 39.699

Stop (beyond the head)37.877

Target (2R)43.342

Structure break level44.347 · 2.6R

Next swing further out45.750

StatusWaiting for price to return to the QML zone

History of this pattern on Binance data

1d, long: reached the 2R target before the stop in 6 of 32 completed returns (19%), on average -0.44R.

All markets: 21% of 1051, on average -0.37R. Breaking even at 2R needs 33%.

The scenario is built from the setup's own levels and is not a forecast. History is a simulation on closed candles (without fees; if a candle touches both the stop and the target, the stop counts). It is the base frequency of the pattern, not the probability for a specific trade.

Setup

Quasimodo · longWAITING FOR A RETURN TO QML

4Confirmations

1Against

2Unknown

Structure

Liquidity taken✅

BOS (break of structure)✅

QML not touched✅

Left shoulder38.706

Head38.155

Structural level44.347

Sweep size0.5510 (0.27 ATR)

Break strength1.353 (0.66 ATR)

Candles shoulder → head14

Candles head → break3

Liquidity

Previous low taken✅

Equal lows✅

The sweep was confirmed by a second engine✅

Order block

No order block at QML—

Imbalance (FVG)

No FVG at QML—

Order flow

Delta confirms the breakFor

Aggressive buyers: 51% of the break candle volume

CVD confirmed the headAgainst

Seller pressure at the head did not weaken

Absorption at QMLNo data

Waiting for a return to QML

Footprint (from trades)No data

QML not touched yet

Delta, CVD and absorption are computed from the aggressive buy volume in each candle (an approximation). A trade-level footprint exists only for candles we collected live.

Higher timeframe

For the 1d there is no higher timeframe—

Background only, it does not affect the setup itself.

Timeline

03.05 00:00Liquidity formed: local low 38.706 (left shoulder)
12.05 00:00Structural high 44.347 confirmed
14.05 00:00Price took out the liquidity beyond the left shoulder
17.05 00:00Head 38.155 confirmed
18.05 00:00BOS: close above the structural high 44.347. Quasimodo confirmed

Why this setup was found

First the market formed a local low 38.706 (left shoulder). Stop orders piled up below it, that is, liquidity.

Then price took that liquidity: the head reached 38.155, which is 0.5510 (0.27 ATR) below the left shoulder.

Then price closed above the previous structural high 44.347 (close 45.700). This is a bullish BOS: a break of structure.

The left shoulder zone (38.706–39.699) became the QML level: price often returns here before continuing the move.

There were equal lows nearby: they were what price hunted.

On the break candle aggressive buyers dominated (51% of volume).

Now: waiting for price to return to QML.

This is a scenario built from market data, not a guarantee of the result.

Confirmations and contradictions

Liquidity takenConfirmation

Equal lowsConfirmation

QML not touched yetConfirmation

Delta confirms the breakConfirmation

CVD confirmed the headAgainst

Absorption at QMLUnknown

Footprint (from trades)Unknown