HYPEUSDT 1d · Quasimodo · long

WAITING FOR A RETURN TO QMLOpen · updated 06.10 00:00 UTC · forecast for HYPEUSDT

QML (entry zone)Order blockTap the markers for explanations · time in UTC · delta and CVD below

Scenario · LONG from QML

Entry zone36.752 – 37.341

Stop (beyond the head)34.222

Target (2R)43.579

Structure break level41.580 · 1.4R

Next swing further out41.709

StatusWaiting for price to return to the QML zone

History of this pattern on Binance data

1d, long: reached the 2R target before the stop in 6 of 32 completed returns (19%), on average -0.44R.

All markets: 21% of 1051, on average -0.37R. Breaking even at 2R needs 33%.

The scenario is built from the setup's own levels and is not a forecast. History is a simulation on closed candles (without fees; if a candle touches both the stop and the target, the stop counts). It is the base frequency of the pattern, not the probability for a specific trade.

Setup

Quasimodo · longWAITING FOR A RETURN TO QML

6Confirmations

1Against

2Unknown

Structure

Liquidity taken✅

CHoCH (change of character)✅

QML not touched✅

Left shoulder36.752

Head34.444

Structural level41.580

Sweep size2.308 (0.88 ATR)

Break strength0.6620 (0.25 ATR)

Candles shoulder → head10

Candles head → break9

Liquidity

Previous low taken✅

Equal lows✅

The sweep was confirmed by a second engine✅

Order block

Bullish order block at QML✅

StateFresh

Touches0

Overlap with QML19%

Imbalance (FVG)

No FVG at QML—

Order flow

Delta confirms the breakFor

Aggressive buyers: 50% of the break candle volume

CVD confirmed the headAgainst

Seller pressure at the head did not weaken

Absorption at QMLNo data

Waiting for a return to QML

Footprint (from trades)No data

QML not touched yet

Delta, CVD and absorption are computed from the aggressive buy volume in each candle (an approximation). A trade-level footprint exists only for candles we collected live.

Higher timeframe

For the 1d there is no higher timeframe—

Background only, it does not affect the setup itself.

Timeline

26.03 00:00Liquidity formed: local low 36.752 (left shoulder)
28.03 00:00Structural high 41.580 confirmed
31.03 00:00Price took out the liquidity beyond the left shoulder
05.04 00:00Head 34.444 confirmed
12.04 00:00CHoCH: close above the structural high 41.580. Quasimodo confirmed
14.05 00:00Price is approaching QML

Why this setup was found

First the market formed a local low 36.752 (left shoulder). Stop orders piled up below it, that is, liquidity.

Then price took that liquidity: the head reached 34.444, which is 2.308 (0.88 ATR) below the left shoulder.

Then price closed above the previous structural high 41.580 (close 42.242). This is a bullish CHoCH: a change of market character.

The left shoulder zone (36.752–37.341) became the QML level: price often returns here before continuing the move.

A fresh bullish order block overlaps QML by 19%: big players already built positions in this zone.

There were equal lows nearby: they were what price hunted.

On the break candle aggressive buyers dominated (50% of volume).

Now: waiting for price to return to QML.

This is a scenario built from market data, not a guarantee of the result.

Confirmations and contradictions

Liquidity takenConfirmation

Equal lowsConfirmation

Change of character (CHoCH)Confirmation

QML not touched yetConfirmation

Fresh bullish order block at QMLConfirmation

Delta confirms the breakConfirmation

CVD confirmed the headAgainst

Absorption at QMLUnknown

Footprint (from trades)Unknown